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Here is a reason not to believe The Oracle is the mother of The Matrix:
Remember that The Oracle is a program from The Matrix. Also remember that in The Matrix, Morpheus tells Neo that she has been with them (humans) since the beginning of the resistance.
Neo: So is this the same Oracle that made the prophecy?
Morpheus: Yes. She's very old. She's been with us since the beginning.
Neo: The beginning...?
Morpheus: Of the resistance.
Neo: And she knows what, everything?
Morpheus: She would say she knows enough.
Remember that The Architect tells Neo "the mother" of The Matrix was a sentient program designed (probably by him) to study the human psyche.
Architect: The first Matrix I designed was quite naturally perfect, it was a work of art - flawless, sublime. A triumph equalled only by its monumental failure. The inevitability of its doom is apparent to me now as a consequence of the imperfection inherent in every human being. Thus, I redesigned it based on your history to more accurately reflect the varying grotesqueries of your nature. However, I was again frustrated by failure. I have since come to understand that the answer eluded me because it required a lesser mind, or perhaps a mind less bound by the parameters of perfection. Thus the answer was stumbled upon by another - an intuitive program, initially created to investigate certain aspects of the human psyche. If I am the father of the matrix, she would undoubtedly be its mother.
Remember that The Oracle tells Neo that programs that don't do what they're supposed to do, turn into what we would know as ghosts, werewolfs, etc.
The Oracle: Oh, well, not like me. But... Look, see those birds? At some point a program was written to govern them. A program was written to watch over the trees, and the wind, the sunrise, and sunset. There are programs running all over the place. The ones doing their job, doing what they were meant to do, are invisible. You'd never even know they were here. But the other ones, well, we hear about them all the time.
Neo: I've never heard of them.
The Oracle: Of course you have. Every time you've heard someone say they saw a ghost, or an angel. Every story you've ever heard about vampires, werewolves, or aliens is the system assimilating some program that's doing something they're not supposed to be doing.
So if The Oracle is in fact, "the mother" of The Matrix, she would most definitely be a ghost or vampire, or a strange creature, because she is definitely not doing what she is supposed to be doing.
Unless, of course, she was re-programmed to guide "The One" to "The Source". Notice on the above quote of The Architect he says:
Architect: ....an intuitive program, initially created to investigate certain aspects of the human psyche. ....
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